Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNC Greensboro Spartans v East Tennessee St Buccaneers

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UNC Greensboro Spartans (Local)

Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV -0.750%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.312%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.35%29.18%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.203.4035.71%31.76%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 70.81%1.41fair odd
EV -0.868%
Edge -0.620%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%70.65%70.82%72.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.79%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNC Greensboro Spartans (Local): 29.19%; East Tennessee St Buccaneers (Visit): 70.81%. For UNC Greensboro Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.750%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.750%E -0.221%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:43
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.750%E -0.221%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.750%E -0.221%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 20:55
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.750%E -0.221%K -0.312%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:55
BetUS🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -1.33%E -0.395%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 20:55
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -1.33%E -0.395%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -7.24%E -5.53%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 20:45
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -3.09%E -0.929%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 17:00
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 20:55
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 20:50
Caesars🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 20:52
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 20:54
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 20:55
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 20:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 20:55
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.05%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.05%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:55
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:55
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -0.868%E -0.620%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -13.89%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -0.868%E -0.620%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -13.89%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -0.868%E -0.620%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:55
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.26%E -6.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -18.26%E -6.52%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly3.48I 28.74%NM 28.69%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.31%0.2%2026-02-21 20:52
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Polymarket3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-02-21 18:45
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-02-21 20:55
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%4.7%2026-02-21 20:55