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UNC Asheville Bulldogs v Longwood Lancers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UNC Asheville Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 48.79%2.05fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.64%49.00%48.93%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.962.0054.64%51.21%51.02%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Longwood Lancers (Visit)
Prediction 51.21%1.95fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%51.00%51.07%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.832.0055.56%54.43%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UNC Asheville Bulldogs (Local): 48.79%; Longwood Lancers (Visit): 51.21%. For Longwood Lancers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +2.42%E +1.21%K +2.42%G +0.058% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.19%E -1.15%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.34%E -2.75%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.73%E -1.98%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.75%E -2.55%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.75%E -2.55%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -8.76%E -4.68%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -4.75%E -2.55%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.39%E -1.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.26%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.39%E -1.71%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.26%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.26%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 22:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.30%E -3.84%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.80%E -3.74%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.88%E -1.97%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -7.31%E -4.04%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.32%E -3.29%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.81%E -3.56%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.37% | -0.7% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:00 |