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UIC Flames v Valparaiso Beacons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UIC Flames (Local)
Prediction 73.79%1.36fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -8.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.65%73.85%73.83%75.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.73%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valparaiso Beacons (Visit)
Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV +1.95%
Edge +0.500%
Kelly +0.673%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%26.15%26.17%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.653.8929.41%27.50%27.40%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UIC Flames (Local): 73.79%; Valparaiso Beacons (Visit): 26.21%. For Valparaiso Beacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.95%E +0.500%K +0.673%G +0.013% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV +1.95%E +0.500%K +0.673%G +0.013% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.898%E +0.233%K +0.315%G +0.003% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.72%E -0.459%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.72%E -0.459%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.72%E -0.459%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -2.51%E -0.675%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.03%E -0.820%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.33%E -2.54%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.34%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.33%E -2.54%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -2.59%E -1.96%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.96%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 19:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.96%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -2.59%E -1.96%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -7.49%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.33%E -2.54%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.07%E -3.13%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.55%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.90%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.36% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.64% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 18:10 |