Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UIC Flames v Drake Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 20:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UIC Flames (Local)

Prediction 62.96%1.59fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%62.95%62.95%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.521.5568.03%65.79%65.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Drake Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 37.04%2.70fair odd
EV +0.009%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.005%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%37.05%37.05%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.522.7041.67%39.36%39.60%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UIC Flames (Local): 62.96%; Drake Bulldogs (Visit): 37.04%. For Drake Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.6998. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.7000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.009%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +0.009%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 19:04
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.93%E -3.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.84%E -0.696%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 20:03
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.93%E -3.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.84%E -0.696%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.84%E -0.696%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.93%E -3.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.21%E -0.838%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 20:04
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.30%E -2.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 19:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.41%E -1.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.41%E -1.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 20:09
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:19
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:24
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 20:09
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 19:45
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.30%E -2.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 20:10
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.55%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 20:09
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:14
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:14
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.04%E -1.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:14
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.30%E -2.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.30%E -2.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.14%E -3.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -4.93%E -3.27%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.14%E -3.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.51%E -3.45%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:39
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.30%E -2.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.25%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 20:14
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.19%E -4.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.25%E -3.78%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.10%E -4.63%K -7.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 20:09
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.10%E -4.63%K -7.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05%0.9%2026-03-07 20:19
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-07 19:04
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-03-07 20:25
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-07 20:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%3.0%2026-03-07 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%3.0%2026-03-07 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%3.0%2026-03-07 20:25