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UConn Huskies v Xavier Musketeers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UConn Huskies (Local)
Prediction 92.02%1.09fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -40.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.91%91.86%91.95%93.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0698.04%96.62%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xavier Musketeers (Visit)
Prediction 7.98%12.54fair odd
EV +10.08%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +0.788%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 13.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.95%8.14%8.05%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.3411.5013.8011.76%8.81%8.70%7.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 92.02%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 7.98%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.54. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +10.08%E +0.731%K +0.788%G +0.079% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +3.70%E +0.285%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +3.70%E +0.285%K +0.308%G +0.011% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +1.71%E +0.134%K +0.145%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +0.190%E +0.015%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +0.190%E +0.015%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -0.288%E -0.023%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 22:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.98%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.52%G +0.000% | 12.05I 8.30%NM 8.02%EV -3.88%E -0.322%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.28%E -0.356%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.52%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -4.28%E -0.356%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.28%E -0.356%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -4.28%E -0.356%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -8.27%E -0.719%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -10.26%E -0.912%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.25%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.37%EV -6.14%E -6.02%K -306.82%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.63%EV -13.85%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.38%E -3.22%K -67.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.30%E -4.13%K -107.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -20.23%E -2.02%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.40%EV -5.22%E -5.06%K -173.87%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.60%EV -22.62%E -2.33%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -2.46%E -2.32%K -40.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -32.20%E -3.79%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.99% | 24.90I 4.02%NM 4.01% | 0.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.37% | 14.93I 6.70%NM 6.63% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-03-12 22:35 |