Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.44
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 66.63%; St. John's Red Storm (Visit): 33.37%. For St. John's Red Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.05%E -2.81%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 20:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.57%E -0.532%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -1.90%E -0.647%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.57%E -0.880%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.57%E -0.880%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 21:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 21:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 21:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.90%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -4.71%E -3.30%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -10.58%E -3.95%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.24%E -1.12%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.38%E -3.79%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.05%E -4.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.57%E -0.532%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.05%E -4.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -7.24%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.05%E -4.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 15:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 20:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.91%E -1.72%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-25 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 20:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.24%E -3.00%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.71%E -4.80%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.91%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.90% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 32.10% | -0.5% | 2026-02-25 23:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.20% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.80% | 1.1% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43% | 2.8% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |