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UConn Huskies v Michigan St Spartans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UConn Huskies (Local)
Prediction 55.75%1.79fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.56%55.76%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.41%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Michigan St Spartans (Visit)
Prediction 44.25%2.26fair odd
EV -0.444%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.44%44.24%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.112.102.2550.76%47.35%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 55.75%; Michigan St Spartans (Visit): 44.25%. For Michigan St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.444%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.32%E -0.744%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.21%E -1.00%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 19:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.99%E -1.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.55%E -2.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.31%E -2.48%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.11%E -2.39%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -8.41%E -4.06%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.10%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.54%E -1.62%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 01:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.66%E -2.73%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.66%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-28 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.22%E -3.07%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.444%E -0.197%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 01:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.78%E -3.42%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.52%E -3.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-28 00:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.89%E -4.13%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.20%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.20%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-28 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.01%E -4.85%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -12.83%E -6.51%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:54 |