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UConn Huskies v Illinois Fighting Illini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UConn Huskies (Local)
Prediction 45.84%2.18fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%45.93%45.74%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.102.1452.36%48.28%47.62%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit)
Prediction 54.16%1.85fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.07%54.26%55.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.741.731.8064.10%57.50%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 45.84%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 54.16%. For UConn Huskies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -1.91%E -0.892%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.76%E -3.31%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.84%E -3.98%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.05%E -1.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 22:07 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.67%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.38%E -4.32%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.03%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.22%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.51%E -1.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.30%E -3.64%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.71%E -7.19%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -4.67%E -2.66%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -12.45%E -6.52%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.04%EV -15.51%E -9.94%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 22:08 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 22:09 |