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UConn Huskies v Furman Paladins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UConn Huskies (Local)
Prediction 93.87%1.07fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -59.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
92.10%93.99%93.83%95.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0499.01%98.26%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Furman Paladins (Visit)
Prediction 6.13%16.32fair odd
EV +40.96%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.763%
assuming max odds 23.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.21%6.01%6.17%7.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0015.7815.2223.008.33%6.34%6.57%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UConn Huskies (Local): 93.87%; Furman Paladins (Visit): 6.13%. For Furman Paladins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.32. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +40.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +40.96%E +1.78%K +1.86%G +0.763% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +16.44%E +0.866%K +0.914%G +0.150% | 3.3% | 2026-03-16 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +10.32%E +0.573%K +0.607%G +0.063% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +10.32%E +0.573%K +0.607%G +0.063% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +10.32%E +0.573%K +0.607%G +0.063% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +4.19%E +0.246%K +0.262%G +0.011% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +4.19%E +0.246%K +0.262%G +0.011% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -1.94%E -0.121%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.80%EV -2.37%E -2.28%K -59.35%G +0.000% | 15.74I 6.35%NM 6.20%EV -3.53%E -0.225%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.01%E -0.323%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.01%E -0.323%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -5.01%E -0.323%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.75%EV -3.31%E -3.22%K -110.42%G +0.000% | 15.45I 6.47%NM 6.25%EV -5.31%E -0.344%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 00:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -8.07%E -0.538%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 01:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -8.07%E -0.538%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.07%E -0.538%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.07%E -0.538%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.07%E -0.538%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.07%E -0.538%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -8.07%E -0.538%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -11.13%E -0.768%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.25%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 14.09I 7.10%NM 6.75%EV -13.65%E -0.969%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 02:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.31%E -3.22%K -110.42%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -14.20%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.25%E -4.17%K -212.56%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -14.20%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.19%E -5.14%K -519.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -20.33%E -1.56%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.31%E -3.22%K -110.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -26.46%E -2.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 98.30% | 59.00I 1.69%NM 1.70% | -0.3% | 2026-03-21 02:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.73% | 18.87I 5.30%NM 5.27% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 02:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 02:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.40% | 17.54I 5.70%NM 5.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 02:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.13% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86% | 19.01I 5.26%NM 5.14% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 02:25 |