Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.33
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UCLA Bruins (Local): 29.79%; Illinois Fighting Illini (Visit): 70.21%. For UCLA Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.33, with an expected value of -0.806%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -0.806%E -0.242%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -5.21%E -3.86%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.21%E -3.86%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-22 00:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.89%E -0.887%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -2.89%E -0.887%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.41%E -1.73%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-22 00:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.78%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.92%E -4.41%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.81%E -2.78%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.11%E -2.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.70%E -1.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.21%E -3.86%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.21%E -3.86%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.62%E -4.98%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.70%E -1.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -12.13%E -4.11%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.70%E -1.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.59%E -5.93%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.51%E -3.32%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.58I 27.93%NM 28.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 71.74% | -1.1% | 2026-02-22 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.52I 28.41%NM 28.31% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.69% | 0.4% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-02-22 00:55 |