Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 55.26%1.81fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.23%55.27%56.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.7760.61%58.14%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 44.74%2.24fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.67%44.77%44.73%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.122.2048.78%47.29%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 55.26%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 44.74%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 00:59
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 01:00
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 01:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.18%E -1.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 00:59
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.73%E -1.55%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:35
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 00:51
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:53
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 00:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.84%E -2.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 00:59
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:59
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:59
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:59
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.61%E -2.66%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:54
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.39%E -2.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:29
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.95%E -2.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:30
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.58%E -0.719%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 01:29
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 00:49
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:54
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 01:50
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.05%E -3.56%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.29%E -4.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:54
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.60%E -3.91%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.48%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 01:29
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.60%E -3.91%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.29%E -4.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 01:30
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.16%E -4.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.95%E -3.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:58
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.71%E -4.62%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.06%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.29%E -4.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 00:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.81%E -5.34%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.29%E -4.05%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-03-08 01:50
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-03-08 01:55
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-03-08 01:55