Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC San Diego Tritons v CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC San Diego Tritons (Local)

Prediction 89.62%1.12fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -40.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%89.53%89.63%91.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.071.0896.15%93.94%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 10.38%9.63fair odd
EV +14.17%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.201%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.79%10.47%10.37%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.568.1811.0014.29%11.68%12.23%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC San Diego Tritons (Local): 89.62%; CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit): 10.38%. For CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +14.17%E +1.29%K +1.42%G +0.201%3.4%2026-02-27 02:39
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.26%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.91I 10.09%NM 9.74%EV +2.86%E +0.289%K +0.321%G +0.009%3.5%2026-02-26 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -0.357%E -0.037%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 02:49
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.39%E -0.147%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 18:19
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -2.85%E -0.304%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 02:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -2.85%E -0.304%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -2.85%E -0.304%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -3.99%E -0.431%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 18:19
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -3.99%E -0.431%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 17:25
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -3.99%E -0.431%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -3.99%E -0.431%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -3.99%E -0.431%K -0.484%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 02:54
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.58%E -0.732%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 12:08
Betway🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.58%E -0.732%K -0.823%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 02:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.54%EV -6.79%E -6.53%K -169.87%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.46%EV -7.62%E -0.856%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -9.18%E -1.05%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 18:20
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -9.18%E -1.05%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 18:20
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -11.77%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -11.77%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 18:20
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.83%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -117.97%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.17%EV -13.33%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 22:24
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.21%E -2.97%K -40.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 18:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:19
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:19
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:19
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:19
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 15:20
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.00%E -4.72%K -83.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 10:55
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -117.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 02:24
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -117.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 02:25
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.90%E -5.62%K -117.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -16.96%E -2.12%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 02:24
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.15%E -2.95%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.11%E -3.84%K -58.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -27.34%E -3.91%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 92.75%13.95I 7.17%NM 7.25%-1.1%2026-02-27 02:25
Polymarket1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-02-27 02:49
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-02-27 02:34
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 90.59%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.41%2.2%2026-02-27 02:55
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 90.52%10.31I 9.70%NM 9.48%2.3%2026-02-27 02:54