Language:English
UC San Diego Tritons v Cal Poly Mustangs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UC San Diego Tritons (Local)
Prediction 72.68%1.38fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -7.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.62%72.71%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.301.3478.13%76.59%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)
Prediction 27.32%3.66fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.38%27.29%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.6031.25%28.76%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC San Diego Tritons (Local): 72.68%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 27.32%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.61%E -1.95%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 01:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.34%E -2.51%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 01:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.34%E -2.51%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -2.19%E -0.611%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -2.73%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -2.73%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -2.73%E -0.768%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 02:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 01:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.06%E -3.08%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.79%E -3.66%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.79%E -3.66%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 01:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.79%E -3.66%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 02:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.79%E -3.66%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.01%E -0.847%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 01:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.79%E -3.66%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 01:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.79%E -3.66%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.64%E -0.456%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 01:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 01:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 01:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.52%E -4.24%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 01:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.25%E -4.84%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.25%E -4.84%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.97%E -5.45%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.97%E -5.45%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 02:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.97%E -5.45%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 01:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.97%E -5.45%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 01:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.14% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.86% | 0.1% | 2026-03-01 02:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 02:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 02:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 02:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.98% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.02% | 2.3% | 2026-03-01 02:25 |