Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 1.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Riverside Highlanders (Local): 41.72%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 58.28%. For UC Riverside Highlanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.95%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.95%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 02:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.79%E -1.20%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.46%E -1.95%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.67%E -1.60%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 05:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 01:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.84%E -2.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 05:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.01%E -3.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.59%E -3.45%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.34%E -4.61%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -4.42%E -2.70%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.17%E -3.83%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.75%E -4.22%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 01:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |