Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Riverside Highlanders v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Riverside Highlanders (Local)

Prediction 33.55%2.98fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.708%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.41%33.51%33.57%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.852.9437.04%35.37%35.09%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 66.45%1.50fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%66.49%66.43%67.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.95%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Riverside Highlanders (Local): 33.55%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 66.45%. For UC Riverside Highlanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.94, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.37%E -0.467%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 23:04
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.72%E -0.937%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 20:04
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:30
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.39%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:30
BetUS🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -3.72%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.28%EV -2.98%E -2.04%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 00:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.06%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.06%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 00:18
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.06%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 00:17
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 00:15
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:10
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:49
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 21:05
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 23:00
888sport🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 23:04
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:59
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 23:00
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:59
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 00:14
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:30
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -7.08%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -1.65%E -1.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.65%E -1.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:41
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 14:08
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 00:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:10
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.75%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 23:04
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -8.08%E -2.95%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 20:49
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.43%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 00:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%-0.2%2026-03-01 00:19
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-03-01 00:30
Polymarket2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-03-01 00:55
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-03-01 00:54
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.7%2026-03-01 00:55