Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v UNLV Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 48.66%2.06fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.85%48.89%52.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.931.932.0056.50%51.92%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNLV Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 51.34%1.95fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.840%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.20%51.15%51.11%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.831.9857.14%54.26%54.64%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 48.66%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 51.34%. For UNLV Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -13.88%E -7.84%K -18.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV +1.66%E +0.840%K +1.70%G +0.028%7.0%2026-03-18 02:55
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -8.53%E -4.54%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV +0.123%E +0.063%K +0.129%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 02:45
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.93%E -1.01%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 02:55
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.98%E -2.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-18 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.98%E -2.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 02:55
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.01%E -2.71%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 02:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 02:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 02:54
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 02:55
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 02:53
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 02:55
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 02:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.99%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.66%E -1.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.55%E -3.60%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 02:55
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.66%E -1.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.55%E -3.60%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 02:55
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.55%E -3.60%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -10.15%E -5.80%K -13.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 02:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -10.15%E -5.80%K -13.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-18 02:55
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-18 02:55
Novig2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%1.3%2026-03-18 02:55
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-03-18 02:55
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%2.3%2026-03-18 02:45