Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 62.42%1.60fair odd
EV -0.756%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.53%62.54%62.52%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.501.5968.97%66.23%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 37.58%2.66fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%37.46%37.48%39.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.502.7543.48%39.35%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 62.42%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 37.58%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -7.62%E -5.15%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +3.35%E +1.22%K +1.92%G +0.064%3.9%2026-02-22 02:45
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.722%E +0.269%K +0.430%G +0.003%4.4%2026-02-22 02:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.406%E -0.153%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 02:55
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.406%E -0.153%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.406%E -0.153%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.406%E -0.153%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.406%E -0.153%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 02:55
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.406%E -0.153%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 02:55
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.406%E -0.153%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 02:55
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.50%E -2.94%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.16%E -0.440%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 02:45
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -9.49%E -6.55%K -21.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -1.53%E -0.585%K -0.947%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.91%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 02:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.91%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 02:40
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -9.49%E -6.55%K -21.10%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -1.91%E -0.731%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.49%E -6.55%K -21.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.29%E -0.879%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 02:40
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.50%E -2.94%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.04%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 02:45
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -3.41%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 02:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 02:40
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.88%E -2.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.54%E -1.79%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 02:40
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.00%E -1.28%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 02:55
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 02:45
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.50%E -2.94%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 02:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 02:50
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:55
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:54
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:55
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.62%E -5.15%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.04%E -2.42%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 02:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -7.00%E -4.70%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.42%E -2.58%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:40
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -0.756%E -0.476%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 02:51
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.63%E -1.69%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 02:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.25%E -2.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.25%E -2.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 02:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.25%E -2.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 02:45
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 02:40
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 02:39
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -13.56%E -5.90%K -10.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -6.37%E -4.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -13.56%E -5.90%K -10.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-02-22 02:55
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-02-22 02:45
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-02-22 02:55
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-02-22 02:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-02-22 02:55