Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 76.74%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 23.26%. For UC Davis Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30004. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30000, with an expected value of -0.001%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.000%E -0.775%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -12.79%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.77%E -1.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.95%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.77%E -1.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.95%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.77%E -1.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.95%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.30%E -2.62%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.30%E -2.62%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:48 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.30%E -2.62%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -3.30%E -2.62%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -5.12%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -2.79%E -0.668%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.14%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -18.61%E -5.32%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.07%E -3.26%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -18.61%E -5.32%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.49%E -0.841%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 00:47 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.65%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.84%E -3.90%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.63%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.60%E -4.56%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -5.60%E -4.56%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -10.70%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.37%E -5.22%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.000%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.37%E -5.22%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.33%E -0.554%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.37%E -5.22%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.37%E -5.22%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.37%E -5.22%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.98%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:47 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.37%E -5.22%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.37%E -5.22%K -28.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.30%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 00:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.91%E -6.59%K -39.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.16%E -0.274%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.57% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.43% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |