Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 61.85%1.62fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -5.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.82%61.90%63.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5767.57%65.11%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 38.15%2.62fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.18%38.10%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.482.452.6542.02%40.37%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 61.85%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 38.15%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +1.11%E +0.417%K +0.670%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-13 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -4.14%E -2.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.18%E -0.457%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 00:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -4.14%E -2.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.18%E -0.457%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 00:15
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.56%E -0.607%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 20:58
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.52%E -2.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 21:05
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.52%E -2.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.71%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-13 21:29
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.09%E -1.22%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.52%E -2.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 21:40
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.90%E -1.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.52%E -2.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 22:10
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 00:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 00:39
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.99%E -3.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:10
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.99%E -3.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -2.90%E -1.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -6.14%E -2.50%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 01:00
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.14%E -2.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.14%E -2.50%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 21:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:00
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 23:59
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.99%E -3.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 21:29
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.82%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 20:59
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.82%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 21:00
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.23%E -4.82%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.76%E -3.09%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 23:59
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.52%E -2.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:59
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.47%E -5.72%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.47%E -5.72%K -17.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.90%E -1.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.20%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 01:00
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.37%E -3.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.20%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 00:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-14 00:14
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-14 00:05
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-03-14 01:00
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%3.0%2026-03-14 01:00
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%3.3%2026-03-14 01:00