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UC Irvine Anteaters v Cal Poly Mustangs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)
Prediction 78.80%1.27fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -13.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.73%78.69%78.81%80.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.201.2384.75%83.16%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)
Prediction 21.20%4.72fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.462%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.31%21.19%23.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.994.484.504.8025.06%22.31%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 78.80%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 21.20%. For Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.76%E +0.366%K +0.462%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.76%E +0.366%K +0.462%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.76%E +0.366%K +0.462%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.76%E +0.366%K +0.462%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.76%E +0.366%K +0.462%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.76%E +0.366%K +0.462%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.76%E +0.366%K +0.462%G +0.008% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.80%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.20%EV +1.33%E +0.279%K +0.353%G +0.005% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.696%E +0.147%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV -2.27%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV -2.27%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.48%E -0.540%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 12:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.48%E -0.540%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.70%E -0.587%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 02:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.60%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -5.66%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 01:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.72%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 22:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -7.78%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.90%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.90%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.90%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.23%E -5.23%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -9.90%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.08%E -2.50%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -10.96%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.02%E -5.95%K -38.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.96%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 02:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.86%E -3.17%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.08%E -3.19%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 01:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.08%E -3.19%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.44%E -4.53%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.20%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.73%EV -4.65%E -3.84%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.27%EV -15.41%E -3.86%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 02:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 80.25% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.75% | -0.3% | 2026-03-06 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.14% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.86% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 02:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-05 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-03-06 02:50 |