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UC Davis Aggies v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UC Davis Aggies (Local)
Prediction 35.96%2.78fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.632%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.04%35.80%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.462.632.652.7540.65%37.99%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)
Prediction 64.04%1.56fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.12%63.96%64.20%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5371.43%67.30%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Davis Aggies (Local): 35.96%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 64.04%. For UC Davis Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.11%E -0.402%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.11%E -0.402%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.35%E -7.39%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.19%E -0.804%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 02:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.55%E -0.939%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 02:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.90%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.90%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 22:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 02:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.70%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.78%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 02:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.42%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.30%E -2.19%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.14%E -4.93%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 02:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.78%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 03:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.14%E -4.93%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.50%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.14%E -4.93%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 22:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.58%E -3.08%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 02:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.30%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.10%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.78%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-12 03:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.10%E -4.04%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.78%E -5.41%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-12 03:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -11.54%E -4.69%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 02:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.60% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 64.40% | -1.1% | 2026-03-12 03:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 03:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 03:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.73I 36.63%NM 36.07% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.93% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 03:24 |