Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies (Local)

Prediction 45.68%2.19fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.639%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.08%45.56%45.74%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.2250.00%48.04%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 54.32%1.84fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.44%54.26%56.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.741.8060.61%57.52%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Davis Aggies (Local): 45.68%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 54.32%. For UC Davis Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +1.42%E +0.639%K +1.16%G +0.017%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -8.75%E -5.21%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:39
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -1.78%E -0.827%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -10.38%E -6.29%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.15%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.15%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.15%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:34
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.15%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:35
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.15%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.15%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.15%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 21:45
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 21:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 21:46
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 21:37
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 01:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 21:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 21:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 21:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 01:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 01:44
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -4.52%E -2.16%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 21:40
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.98%E -2.39%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.78%E -1.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 21:35
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 21:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 21:40
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:34
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.03%E -3.49%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 21:44
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 21:44
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 21:44
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 01:25
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -6.80%E -3.34%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.80%E -3.34%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.58%E -3.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 22:24
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.72%E -3.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.95%E -2.83%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.72%E -3.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.49%E -3.16%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.63%E -4.32%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 21:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.63%E -4.32%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.66%E -4.51%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-26 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-02-27 01:54
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-02-27 00:10
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-02-27 01:54
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-02-27 01:50
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-02-27 01:54