Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v North Texas Mean Green

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 65.01%1.54fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%65.10%64.88%67.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.461.471.5071.94%68.51%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Texas Mean Green (Visit)

Prediction 34.99%2.86fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.504%
Kelly +0.769%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.86%34.90%35.12%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.722.9038.46%36.76%36.76%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 65.01%; North Texas Mean Green (Visit): 34.99%. For North Texas Mean Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +1.46%E +0.504%K +0.769%G +0.011%4.4%2026-03-01 16:49
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.287%E -0.101%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 16:22
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.287%E -0.101%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -9.63%E -6.93%K -24.70%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -0.637%E -0.224%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.04%E -0.727%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.04%E -0.727%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 16:24
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.04%E -0.727%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:53
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.04%E -0.727%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 15:59
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.04%E -0.727%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 16:39
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.04%E -0.727%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 15:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:45
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:04
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.33%E -5.91%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.98%E -6.42%K -22.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.79%E -1.38%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 03:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -3.13%E -2.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -4.84%E -1.78%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 16:24
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -4.84%E -1.78%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -7.68%E -5.41%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -5.19%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 16:09
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.78%E -2.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 15:59
TAB🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 16:40
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 15:59
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.08%E -3.48%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.54%E -2.05%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.48%E -1.65%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 16:50
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.03%E -4.92%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.28%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:59
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 16:44
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 16:44
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.98%E -3.04%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.33%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.43%E -3.01%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 16:45
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.73%E -3.95%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 16:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.38%E -4.43%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.03%E -3.47%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-01 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-03-01 16:50
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-01 16:44
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-03-01 16:49
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-03-01 16:54