Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.18
assuming max odds 5.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 81.82%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 18.18%. For East Carolina Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.63%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.38%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +3.63%E +0.636%K +0.772%G +0.028% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 13:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.009%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -0.737%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -0.737%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.38%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.83%E -0.338%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.85%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 18.15%EV -3.28%E -0.617%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.65%E -0.688%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 18:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.65%E -0.688%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 15:12 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.55%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.55%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.55%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 15:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.55%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.54%E -6.68%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.54%E -6.68%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.64%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.45%E -2.93%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.64%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -13.64%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -15.46%E -3.33%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.37%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 18:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.61% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.39% | 0.0% | 2026-03-08 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 12:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.33% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.67% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 18:54 |