Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 66.52%1.50fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.75%66.60%66.43%67.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.421.4772.46%70.18%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 33.48%2.99fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.652%
Kelly -0.991%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.39%33.40%33.57%35.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.822.842.9337.04%35.52%35.21%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 66.52%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 33.48%. For Charlotte 49ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.93, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -5.26%E -1.86%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:55
TAB🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.21%E -1.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.26%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 16:55
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 16:54
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.54%E -2.44%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:53
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:49
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 16:49
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.21%E -2.92%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -1.91%E -0.652%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 16:50
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.87%E -3.41%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 16:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 16:50
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 16:50
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.54%E -3.90%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:49
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:49
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.26%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 16:50
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:49
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 16:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.87%E -4.91%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.20%E -5.94%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-13 16:54
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.91%3.09I 32.36%NM 32.09%0.9%2026-03-13 16:50
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-13 16:50
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-13 16:50
BetOpenly1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-03-13 16:54