Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local)

Prediction 62.77%1.59fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.86%62.80%62.77%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.521.5669.44%66.21%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%37.20%37.23%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.512.6441.67%39.55%39.76%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local): 62.77%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 37.23%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -1.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.08%E -1.34%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.80%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-24 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.70%E -0.646%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 22:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -1.70%E -0.646%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 22:34
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.08%E -0.790%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-24 22:34
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 22:34
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.97%E -2.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.06%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 22:05
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:34
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:45
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.59%E -3.02%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 22:10
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.85%E -3.90%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.03%E -3.25%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 21:19
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.48%E -4.35%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 22:44
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.10%E -4.80%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 22:45
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.26%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.73%EV -9.62%E -6.68%K -21.85%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.27%EV -5.80%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-24 22:49
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-24 22:50
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-03-24 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-24 22:53
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-24 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-24 22:52
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-24 21:49
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%3.0%2026-03-24 22:55