Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane v UNLV Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local)

Prediction 65.15%1.53fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.45%65.22%65.06%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.461.5072.46%68.65%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNLV Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV -0.683%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.369%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.78%34.94%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.11%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local): 65.15%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 34.85%. For UNLV Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.683%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.27%E -1.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.92%E -1.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.92%E -1.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.47%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 22:54
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.43%E -0.866%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.82%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 22:55
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.17%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -5.21%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 22:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 22:55
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.88%E -3.34%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.43%E -0.866%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 22:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.53%E -3.81%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:35
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.53%E -3.81%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 22:54
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.18%E -4.29%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.683%E -0.240%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -6.18%E -4.29%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 22:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.18%E -4.29%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.88%E -5.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.18%E -4.29%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.88%E -5.15%K -8.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 22:54
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.83%E -4.78%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 22:54
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.48%E -5.27%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.91%E -2.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 22:54
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.79%E -6.28%K -21.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.17%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67%EV -10.09%E -7.31%K -26.55%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33%EV -3.82%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 67.04%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.96%0.1%2026-03-22 22:55
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-22 22:55
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-22 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-03-22 22:52
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-03-22 22:55
BetOpenly1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%2.2%2026-03-22 22:54