Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local)

Prediction 68.69%1.46fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.78%68.57%68.86%70.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.381.4475.19%72.15%72.20%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.630%
Kelly +0.909%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.44%31.43%31.14%34.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.732.962.953.2636.63%33.82%33.90%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (Local): 68.69%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit): 31.31%. For Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV +2.05%E +0.630%K +0.909%G +0.019%4.2%2026-03-18 00:00
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.95%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 00:49
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.51%E -3.25%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.95%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:45
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.20%E -3.77%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.95%E -0.953%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-18 00:50
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.08%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -8.64%E -6.49%K -26.17%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.86%EV -6.71%E -2.25%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 00:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.77%E -1.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.65%E -2.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 00:45
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.65%E -2.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.65%E -2.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 00:45
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.83%E -2.73%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.22%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.20%E -3.77%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.22%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 00:50
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.22%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 00:50
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.22%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.22%E -3.18%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.08%E -0.750%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -9.84%E -3.42%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-18 00:45
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.91%E -5.06%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.57%E -4.83%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.91%E -5.06%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -2.45%E -1.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -14.54%E -5.32%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 00:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-03-18 00:55
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-18 00:50
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-18 00:49
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-18 00:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%2.6%2026-03-18 00:55