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Troy Trojans v Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Troy Trojans (Local)
Prediction 68.97%1.45fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -8.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%69.03%68.89%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.391.4075.19%72.26%71.94%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV +0.846%
Edge +0.260%
Kelly +0.376%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.97%31.11%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.2535.71%33.06%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 68.97%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 31.03%. For Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.846%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -4.13%E -2.97%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.846%E +0.260%K +0.376%G +0.003% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.27%E -6.22%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +0.846%E +0.260%K +0.376%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.82%E -3.49%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -0.706%E -0.220%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.13%E -2.97%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.26%E -0.717%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.82%E -3.49%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.26%E -0.717%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.51%E -4.02%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.26%E -0.717%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 21:57 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.13%E -2.97%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -4.74%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -4.74%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.13%E -2.97%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:57 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.13%E -2.97%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.13%E -2.97%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.89%E -5.10%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.89%E -5.10%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -5.51%E -4.02%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -7.22%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.44%E -2.46%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.82%E -3.49%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.82%E -3.49%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.82%E -3.49%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.89%E -5.10%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.12%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92% | -0.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |