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Toledo Rockets v Massachusetts Minutemen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toledo Rockets (Local)
Prediction 57.04%1.75fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.02%57.11%57.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.671.681.6962.11%59.91%59.52%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit)
Prediction 42.96%2.33fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.15%42.98%42.89%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2647.62%45.54%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 57.04%; Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit): 42.96%. For Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -2.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 20:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 15:47 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.60%E -2.13%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 17:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.17%E -2.48%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.78%E -3.13%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.31%E -3.20%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.21%E -3.34%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.93%E -4.21%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.93%E -4.21%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 20:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.88%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.79%E -4.66%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.45%E -3.93%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.16%E -5.07%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -5.07%E -2.29%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44% | -0.2% | 2026-03-13 20:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-03-13 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 20:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |