Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets v Eastern Michigan Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 76.95%1.30fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -8.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.95%76.96%77.00%77.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2782.64%80.84%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 23.05%4.34fair odd
EV -0.870%
Edge -0.202%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%23.04%23.00%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.004.3027.03%24.82%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 76.95%; Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit): 23.05%. For Eastern Michigan Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -0.870%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.28%E -1.79%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 21:50
TAB🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.28%E -1.79%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -12.40%E -3.26%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:50
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%EV -3.05%E -2.42%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -5.94%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -3.05%E -2.42%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -6.40%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.32%EV -3.05%E -2.42%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.68%EV -6.40%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:49
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.82%E -3.05%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.48%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 21:49
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.82%E -3.05%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.82%E -3.05%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.82%E -3.05%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.870%E -0.202%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.870%E -0.202%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 19:00
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.18%E -0.756%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.18%E -0.756%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:50
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:14
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.59%E -3.70%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 21:15
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.36%E -4.35%K -23.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 21:15
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.36%E -4.35%K -23.29%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -8.71%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 21:50
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.870%E -0.202%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:49
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.870%E -0.202%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.02%E -0.476%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.79%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.09%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.09%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 21:50
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.09%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -14.70%E -3.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.13%E -5.02%K -27.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -14.70%E -3.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -6.89%E -5.70%K -32.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -6.63%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%0.1%2026-02-21 21:55
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-02-21 21:15
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-02-21 17:40
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54%2.5%2026-02-21 21:55
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-02-21 21:25