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Toledo Rockets v Bowling Green Falcons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toledo Rockets (Local)
Prediction 53.03%1.89fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.94%53.19%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8458.82%55.96%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bowling Green Falcons (Visit)
Prediction 46.97%2.13fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.33%47.06%46.81%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.0551.28%49.78%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 53.03%; Bowling Green Falcons (Visit): 46.97%. For Toledo Rockets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.84, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.43%E -1.32%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.12%E -2.53%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.96%E -1.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.02%E -2.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.18%E -2.05%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.12%E -2.53%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.55%E -2.53%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 16:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.08%E -2.84%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.12%E -2.53%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.12%E -2.53%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.47%E -3.79%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.61%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.94%E -4.05%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.14%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -7.00%E -3.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.06%E -3.03%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.41%E -4.31%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.71%E -1.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52% | -0.0% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |