Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Kansas St Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 86.39%1.16fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -10.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.57%86.33%86.42%87.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.111.1492.59%90.72%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas St Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 13.61%7.35fair odd
EV +6.15%
Edge +0.789%
Kelly +0.905%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.26%13.67%13.58%16.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.776.807.8017.24%14.77%14.71%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 86.39%; Kansas St Wildcats (Visit): 13.61%. For Kansas St Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.35. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.82%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +6.15%E +0.789%K +0.905%G +0.056%4.6%2026-02-21 19:09
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.318%G +0.007%4.2%2026-02-21 19:20
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.318%G +0.007%4.2%2026-02-21 19:10
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -1.33%E -0.184%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -2.97%E -0.416%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -2.97%E -0.416%K -0.484%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:19
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 15:40
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:17
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:10
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.70%E -6.20%K -83.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 19:10
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.70%E -6.20%K -83.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.74%E -0.677%K -0.789%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.55%EV -6.70%E -6.20%K -83.72%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.45%EV -5.42%E -0.779%K -0.910%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.24%E -2.89%K -27.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -7.46%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 19:15
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -7.46%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.70%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -7.46%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.82%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -9.50%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:10
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:10
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.70%E -6.20%K -83.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.70%E -6.20%K -83.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.54%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.94%E -2.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:55
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -1.51%E -1.33%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -21.07%E -3.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-02-21 16:20
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.54%7.94I 12.59%NM 12.46%1.1%2026-02-21 19:25
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-02-21 19:25
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 89.05%8.86I 11.29%NM 10.95%3.0%2026-02-21 19:15