Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Iowa State Cyclones

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.37%28.59%28.27%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.353.5333.33%30.14%29.85%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa State Cyclones (Visit)

Prediction 71.52%1.40fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -5.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.41%71.73%72.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3776.92%75.09%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 28.48%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 71.52%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.538%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV +0.538%E +0.153%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 16:15
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.316%E -0.090%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -0.601%E -0.172%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -0.601%E -0.172%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 16:10
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.74%E -0.504%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 15:59
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.16%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 16:10
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.16%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.16%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.16%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 16:24
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.16%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 16:15
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.16%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 15:50
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.45%E -2.56%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 16:25
GTbets🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:25
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:25
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:25
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 16:25
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 16:25
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 16:25
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 16:25
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.60%E -4.24%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.59%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.60%E -4.24%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 16:15
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -5.44%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.03%E -5.40%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 16:20
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.73%E -2.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 16:25
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.60%E -4.24%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.60%E -4.24%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.60%E -4.24%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.01%E -1.82%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.03%E -5.40%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:25
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -7.15%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:25
TAB🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.45%E -2.56%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 16:15
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.44%E -2.29%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.31%E -4.82%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 16:25
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -8.01%E -2.48%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.16%E -3.11%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 16:15
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -8.29%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -2.02%E -1.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 16:15
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.73%E -2.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 16:10
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.03%E -5.40%K -23.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 16:15
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.86%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.03%E -5.40%K -23.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 16:15
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.60%E -4.24%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 16:25
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.28%E -3.26%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.60%E -4.24%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 16:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.71%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.88%E -3.67%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 16:25
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.56%E -4.85%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.73%E -2.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-03-12 16:25
Polymarket3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-03-12 16:15
Novig3.56I 28.09%NM 27.64%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.36%1.6%2026-03-12 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-03-12 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-03-12 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-03-12 16:25
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-03-12 16:20
BetOpenly3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%5.3%2026-03-12 16:15