Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Southern Tigers v Jackson St Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Southern Tigers (Local)

Prediction 69.52%1.44fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +6.01%
Growth +0.173%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.01%69.22%69.51%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.361.4875.19%72.99%73.53%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jackson St Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 30.48%3.28fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%30.78%30.49%34.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.083.103.2036.36%32.45%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Southern Tigers (Local): 69.52%; Jackson St Tigers (Visit): 30.48%. For Texas Southern Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV +2.88%E +1.95%K +6.01%G +0.173%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -16.17%E -5.88%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 22:48
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -1.98%E -1.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 22:50
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.68%E -1.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.55%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.07%E -2.95%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.07%E -2.95%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.07%E -2.95%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.76%E -3.48%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.76%E -3.48%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 22:49
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.76%E -3.48%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.50%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.45%E -0.767%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:50
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.50%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 22:48
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.50%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 22:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.50%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 22:49
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.50%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.50%E -1.77%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.03%E -2.30%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 22:49
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.9%2026-02-28 22:50
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%7.0%2026-02-28 22:54