Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Southern Tigers v Alcorn St Braves

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 01:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Southern Tigers (Local)

Prediction 70.76%1.41fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -10.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.68%70.64%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.341.331.3675.19%74.58%74.91%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alcorn St Braves (Visit)

Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.671%
Kelly +0.939%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%29.32%29.36%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.17%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Southern Tigers (Local): 70.76%; Alcorn St Braves (Visit): 29.24%. For Alcorn St Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.89%E -4.43%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +2.35%E +0.671%K +0.939%G +0.022%3.8%2026-02-27 01:02
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.89%E -4.43%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.886%E +0.257%K +0.362%G +0.003%4.2%2026-02-27 01:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.89%E -4.43%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.576%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 01:13
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.18%E -3.87%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.04%E -0.608%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 01:14
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.18%E -3.87%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.50%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.77%E -2.77%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:14
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.89%E -4.43%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.42%E -2.01%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.48%E -3.32%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.35%E -3.02%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 01:14
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.77%E -2.77%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.77%E -2.77%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 01:14
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.89%E -4.43%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 01:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.89%E -4.43%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.27%E -4.09%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 01:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-02-27 01:15
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-02-27 01:15
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%7.3%2026-02-27 01:14