Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.44
assuming max odds 3.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 67.47%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 32.53%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -0.772%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.85%E -1.98%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.28%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -3.70%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.52%E -2.46%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.20%E -2.96%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.87%E -3.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.87%E -3.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -4.87%E -3.46%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -5.33%E -1.83%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.772%E -0.253%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -1.75%E -0.579%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.30%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.28%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.53%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.53%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.53%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.22%E -4.48%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.22%E -4.48%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.40%E -0.800%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.90%E -5.00%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.90%E -5.00%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.90%E -5.00%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.90%E -5.00%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.90%E -5.00%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -7.57%E -5.53%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -2.72%E -0.911%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.57%E -5.53%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.03%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.53%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.53%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 22:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 68.11% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 31.89% | -0.1% | 2026-03-11 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-03-11 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 22:35 |