Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.37
assuming max odds 3.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 71.12%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 28.88%. For Oklahoma Sooners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -0.370%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -2.56%E -1.87%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 01:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.27%E -2.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.34%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.66%EV -2.97%E -0.883%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.26%E -0.972%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.99%E -2.95%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -10.48%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.370%E -0.107%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.81%E -0.533%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.81%E -0.533%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.68%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -2.68%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.26%E -0.972%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.26%E -0.972%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.70%E -3.51%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.81%E -0.533%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.81%E -0.533%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.81%E -0.533%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.59%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 01:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -8.17%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 01:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.41%E -4.07%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 01:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.17%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.12%E -4.64%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.03%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.48%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.54%E -5.80%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.48%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.54% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 28.46% | -0.2% | 2026-03-08 01:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |