Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M-CC Islanders v Northwestern St Demons

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M-CC Islanders (Local)

Prediction 68.09%1.47fair odd
EV +0.095%
Edge +0.064%
Kelly +0.202%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.17%68.26%67.92%70.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4773.53%71.51%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northwestern St Demons (Visit)

Prediction 31.91%3.13fair odd
EV +5.30%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.122%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%31.74%32.08%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.952.953.3038.17%33.93%33.90%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M-CC Islanders (Local): 68.09%; Northwestern St Demons (Visit): 31.91%. For Northwestern St Demons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +5.30%E +1.61%K +2.30%G +0.122%3.8%2026-02-28 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +2.11%E +0.658%K +0.958%G +0.020%4.8%2026-02-28 23:19
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.511%E +0.162%K +0.238%G +0.001%4.2%2026-02-28 23:19
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.68%E -0.879%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 23:23
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.63%E -1.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 23:24
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.99%E -2.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:24
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 23:18
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.28%E -1.43%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:54
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.59%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 20:49
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 23:24
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 23:24
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.47%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.47%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -1.95%E -1.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.78%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 23:24
TAB🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.63%E -1.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.06%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 23:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV +0.095%E +0.064%K +0.202%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -9.70%E -3.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 23:24
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.27%E -0.874%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 23:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.95%E -1.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.25%E -4.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 23:24
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.95%E -1.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.25%E -4.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -16.40%E -6.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 23:24
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -16.40%E -6.26%K -10.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 23:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.57%0.0%2026-02-28 23:19
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-02-28 23:24
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-02-28 23:24
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.56%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.44%1.3%2026-02-28 23:24
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-02-28 23:24