Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M-CC Islanders v New Orleans Privateers

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas A&M-CC Islanders (Local)

Prediction 57.66%1.73fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +3.37%
Growth +0.089%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%57.46%57.59%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.681.7862.89%59.86%59.52%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Privateers (Visit)

Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.677%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%42.54%42.41%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.182.4050.00%45.39%45.87%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas A&M-CC Islanders (Local): 57.66%; New Orleans Privateers (Visit): 42.34%. For Texas A&M-CC Islanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV +2.63%E +1.48%K +3.37%G +0.089%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -12.77%E -6.20%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -0.255%E -0.148%K -0.350%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -15.31%E -7.66%K -15.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 21:49
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.41%E -0.824%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.84%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 21:49
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:54
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.98%E -1.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.96%E -4.17%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.73%E -2.10%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.84%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 21:54
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -2.56%E -1.52%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -11.50%E -5.50%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.14%E -1.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.14%E -1.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 21:55
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.14%E -1.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.14%E -1.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 21:55
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.14%E -1.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -8.11%E -3.74%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.14%E -1.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -10.23%E -4.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.61%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 21:54
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.61%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.73%E -2.10%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.96%E -4.17%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.96%E -4.17%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -4.29%E -2.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -9.81%E -4.60%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 21:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.87%E -2.95%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.491%E -0.209%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.87%E -2.95%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.61%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 21:54
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.87%E -2.95%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.61%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 21:53
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.87%E -2.95%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.73%E -2.10%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.02%E -3.69%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.69%E -3.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 21:54
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.60%E -4.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.491%E -0.209%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 21:54
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.60%E -4.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.61%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 21:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.60%E -4.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.84%E -3.11%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 21:54
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.60%E -4.07%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.96%E -4.17%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.75%E -4.84%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.00%E -2.70%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 21:54
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.75%E -4.84%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.00%E -2.70%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -8.33%E -5.24%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +1.63%E +0.677%K +1.16%G +0.019%4.6%2026-03-09 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-03-09 19:39
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-03-09 21:54
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-09 21:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-09 21:53
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-03-09 21:55
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%2.8%2026-03-09 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%3.1%2026-03-09 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%3.1%2026-03-09 21:55