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Tennessee Volunteers v Alabama Crimson Tide
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tennessee Volunteers (Local)
Prediction 68.73%1.45fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%68.69%68.93%70.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4375.19%72.06%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)
Prediction 31.27%3.20fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.499%
Kelly +0.721%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%31.31%31.07%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.40%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 68.73%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 31.27%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.62%E +0.499%K +0.721%G +0.012% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -7.90%E -5.90%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV +0.997%E +0.309%K +0.447%G +0.004% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -8.59%E -6.46%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -0.567%E -0.178%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -0.880%E -0.277%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.15%E -3.73%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.50%E -0.478%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.59%E -6.46%K -26.02%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -2.44%E -0.783%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.07%E -0.990%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.07%E -0.990%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.15%E -3.73%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.07%E -0.990%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.84%E -4.26%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.07%E -0.990%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.07%E -0.990%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.15%E -3.73%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.40%E -1.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.09%E -2.19%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.21%E -5.34%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.21%E -5.34%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.20%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -8.07%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -8.70%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -1.71%E -1.20%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -8.70%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.40%E -1.69%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.78%E -2.70%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.09%E -2.19%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.01%E -5.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.52%E -4.80%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.01%E -5.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.98% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 31.02% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 23:04 |