Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.81
assuming max odds 2.14
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee St Tigers (Local): 54.20%; Tenn-Martin Skyhawks (Visit): 45.80%. For Tennessee St Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.81, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -1.89%E -1.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.43%E -1.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.97%E -1.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.52%E -1.97%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.52%E -1.97%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.06%E -2.29%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -9.33%E -4.71%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.14%E -2.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.68%E -3.27%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.23%E -3.60%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 00:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.77%E -3.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.58%E -3.22%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.31%E -4.27%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.85%E -4.62%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -8.39%E -4.97%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -4.29%E -2.05%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -10.56%E -6.40%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -2.00%E -0.934%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | -0.1% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 23:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |