Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee St Tigers v SIU-Edwardsville Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee St Tigers (Local)

Prediction 59.53%1.68fair odd

EV -1.78%

Edge -1.08%

Kelly -2.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.62%59.81%59.39%62.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.601.601.6565.79%62.70%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 40.47%2.47fair odd

EV +4.01%

Edge +1.56%

Kelly +2.56%

Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.47%40.19%40.61%42.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.232.352.352.5744.84%42.59%42.55%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee St Tigers (Local): 59.53%; SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (Visit): 40.47%. For SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -8.33%E -5.41%K -15.42%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV +4.01%E +1.56%K +2.56%G +0.103%	3.8%	2026-02-21 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.14%E -4.58%K -12.75%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.18%E +0.473%K +0.788%G +0.009%	4.1%	2026-02-21 18:48
TAB🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.95%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.87%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-21 18:50
PlayUp🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.52%E -6.26%K -18.30%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.87%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-21 18:50
LeoVegas🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 18:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 18:40
betPARX🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 18:40
FanDuel🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.35%E -3.37%K -9.07%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 18:50
Unibet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.95%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 18:40
BetRivers🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.68%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 18:40
DraftKings🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.57%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.48%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.78%E -1.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-21 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.78%E -1.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-21 18:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.78%E -1.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-02-21 18:40
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.57%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.57%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 18:50
Bovada🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.57%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 18:49
Betway🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.16%E -2.58%K -6.82%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 18:55
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 18:50
TABtouch🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.89%E -2.08%K -3.62%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 18:40
BetUS🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.78%E -1.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.29%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-02-21 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 18:50
Neds🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.76%E -2.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 18:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.91%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-02-21 18:49
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.57%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-21 18:40
Betsson🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.95%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-21 18:50
NordicBet🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.95%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-21 18:50
Coral🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-21 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-21 18:50
Fliff🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.54%E -4.17%K -11.48%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-21 18:55
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.38%E -1.45%K -3.71%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.92%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 18:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%	2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%	0.0%	2026-02-21 18:50
BetOpenly◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%	0.2%	2026-02-21 18:55
Novig◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%	0.5%	2026-02-21 18:55
Polymarket◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.0%	2026-02-21 18:50
ProphetX◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%	1.2%	2026-02-21 18:55