Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee St Tigers v Murray St Racers

2026-11-02 16:30 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee St Tigers (Local)

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%21.33%21.33%21.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.504.504.5022.22%22.22%22.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Murray St Racers (Visit)

Prediction 78.67%1.27fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -18.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.67%78.67%78.67%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.221.221.2281.97%81.97%81.97%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tennessee St Tigers (Local): 21.33%; Murray St Racers (Visit): 78.67%. For Murray St Racers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.22, with an expected value of -4.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-31 07:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.0%2026-10-31 07:35
Polymarket◎3.03I 33.00%NM 29.70%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.30%11.1%2026-10-31 11:00