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Tennessee St Tigers v Morehead St Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tennessee St Tigers (Local)
Prediction 66.09%1.51fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.20%65.94%66.16%68.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.64%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Morehead St Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 33.91%2.95fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.91%34.06%33.84%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.803.0338.46%35.88%35.71%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee St Tigers (Local): 66.09%; Morehead St Eagles (Visit): 33.91%. For Morehead St Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV +2.76%E +0.910%K +1.36%G +0.037% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.65%E -0.570%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.99%E -0.689%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.80%E -6.38%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -2.33%E -0.809%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 15:17 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 17:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.35%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.85%E -1.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.03%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 15:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.85%E -1.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.03%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 15:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.04%E -1.80%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.19%E -1.48%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.48%E -5.34%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.74%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 01:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -7.42%E -2.72%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 01:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.50%E -3.84%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 22:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.16%E -4.34%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.48%E -5.34%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.48%E -5.34%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.43%E -3.12%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.83%E -3.36%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.15%E -4.25%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.83%E -4.55%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.17%E -2.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.83%E -4.55%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 19:02 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 01:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 01:54 |