Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tenn-Martin Skyhawks v Tennessee St Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tenn-Martin Skyhawks (Local)

Prediction 56.78%1.76fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.27%56.79%56.81%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7462.50%59.96%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee St Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 43.22%2.31fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.21%43.19%44.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.202.202.2547.17%45.37%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tenn-Martin Skyhawks (Local): 56.78%; Tennessee St Tigers (Visit): 43.22%. For Tenn-Martin Skyhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.74, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.20%E -0.691%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.91%E -1.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:41
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.47%E -2.04%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 17:24
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.05%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:37
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.04%E -2.39%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.78%E -2.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 17:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:49
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.05%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:24
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:44
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:24
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.18%E -3.10%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:29
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:50
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:49
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.64%E -3.08%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.64%E -3.08%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:49
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -6.64%E -3.08%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -5.75%E -3.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.51%E -3.51%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:09
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.31%E -3.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:14
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.31%E -3.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:29
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.31%E -3.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.45%E -4.57%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:19
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.02%E -4.95%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 18:14
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.15%E -5.72%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.08%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-28 18:34
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-02-28 17:39
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-02-28 17:29