Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.36
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 71.66%; Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit): 28.34%. For Oklahoma St Cowboys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.12%E -4.67%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.01%E +0.559%K +0.774%G +0.016% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 01:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.12%E -4.67%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.596%E +0.168%K +0.234%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -5.40%E -4.09%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV +0.312%E +0.088%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.821%E -0.235%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.24%E -0.649%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.27%E -6.46%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.24%E -0.649%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.84%E -5.26%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.65%E -1.07%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.51%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.51%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.07%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -5.36%E -1.60%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.54%E -1.87%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.40%E -4.09%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.84%E -5.26%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.25%E -2.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.40%E -4.09%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.40%E -4.09%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.84%E -5.26%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.84%E -5.26%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.84%E -5.26%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -3.97%E -2.96%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -8.47%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.69%E -3.52%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.84%E -5.26%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.84%E -5.26%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 01:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 01:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 01:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 42.74% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 57.26% | 74.6% | 2026-03-12 01:39 |