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TCU Horned Frogs v Cincinnati Bearcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TCU Horned Frogs (Local)
Prediction 56.17%1.78fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.05%56.27%57.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.711.7661.35%58.68%58.48%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)
Prediction 43.83%2.28fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.78%43.95%43.73%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.132.2350.00%46.75%46.95%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 56.17%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 43.83%. For TCU Horned Frogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.76, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -1.15%E -0.653%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -7.95%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.19%E -2.89%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.95%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.83%E -1.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.33%E -6.17%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.95%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -10.58%E -5.18%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.95%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.14%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.08%E -3.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.25%E -1.01%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.08%E -3.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.56%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.08%E -3.01%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -10.14%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.72%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.07%E -3.33%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.95%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.95%E -3.78%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.45%E -5.18%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |