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TCU Horned Frogs v Arizona St Sun Devils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TCU Horned Frogs (Local)
Prediction 71.68%1.40fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -9.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%71.78%71.73%73.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3578.13%75.80%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit)
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV +0.523%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.205%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.22%28.27%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.363.5531.75%29.79%29.76%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 71.68%; Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit): 28.32%. For Arizona St Sun Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.523%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +0.523%E +0.147%K +0.205%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.893%E -0.255%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -1.74%E -0.502%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.24%E -6.44%K -29.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.94%E -2.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.72%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.94%E -2.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.94%E -2.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 02:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.23%E -2.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.23%E -2.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.94%E -2.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 02:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.38%E -4.07%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.90%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -8.26%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -6.09%E -4.65%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -8.26%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.81%E -5.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.66%E -3.50%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24% | 2.6% | 2026-02-25 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69% | 3.2% | 2026-02-25 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.08% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92% | 3.5% | 2026-02-25 02:09 |