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Tarleton State Texans v Utah Tech Trailblazers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tarleton State Texans (Local)
Prediction 53.38%1.87fair odd
EV -0.714%
Edge -0.384%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.69%53.51%53.25%56.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8659.52%57.03%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit)
Prediction 46.62%2.14fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%46.49%46.75%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.052.1851.28%48.21%48.78%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tarleton State Texans (Local): 53.38%; Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit): 46.62%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +1.63%E +0.749%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +1.63%E +0.749%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +1.63%E +0.749%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +1.63%E +0.749%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +1.63%E +0.749%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +1.63%E +0.749%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV +1.63%E +0.749%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV +0.700%E +0.324%K +0.603%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV +0.700%E +0.324%K +0.603%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -9.25%E -5.44%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV +0.700%E +0.324%K +0.603%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.32%E -6.14%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.233%E +0.109%K +0.203%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.50%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.45%E -2.49%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.50%E -1.69%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.52%E -3.12%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.59%E -3.76%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.43%E -2.16%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.19%E -4.76%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.89%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.38%E -1.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.98%E -2.80%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.83%E -2.88%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.92%E -2.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.72%E -5.10%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.76%E -3.38%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -0.714%E -0.384%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -7.23%E -3.63%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.65%E -4.42%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.09%E -4.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |